St. Lucia elections too close to call

St. Lucia elections too close to call

St. Lucia’s upcoming general elections on June 6 are at a “statistical dead heat” between the two major political parties, according to the Barbados-based Caribbean Development Research Services INC (CADRES). A recent opinion poll conducted among all 17 constituencies, showed a close race between the ruling St. Lucia Labour Party (SLP) and the main opposition United Workers Party (UWP).

With a margin of plus or minus five percent, the poll found “a statistical dead-heat between the governing SLP and the opposition UWP, with the SLP recording 34 percent and the UWP securing 33 per cent of the committed vote share.”

The poll also noted that “some three percent of respondents promised to support independent candidates,” but did specify that this number remains in flux, as “this survey was conducted one-week ago when there was an anticipation of greater independent participation than that which materialized on nomination day.”

The remaining 30 percent of respondents were categorized as “uncertain voters,” which CADRES believes may still prove to swing the elections for either party.

“The size of the uncertain vote is clearly large enough to impact on the outcome of the election, therefore attention needs to be paid to several details of the poll which provide a clue to the possible outcome,” said a statement from CADRES. “Significant among these details is the swing analysis, which estimates the likely outcome in terms of party support based on the historic support levels of both parties.”

- Advertisement -

CADRES said it has employed this prediction tool with considerable accuracy in the past. But CADRES says the projected support levels at this time would give the SLP 51 percent and the UWP 49 percent which would be a swing of  plus1.7 percent for the UWP and minus 0.4 percent away from the SLP.

More Stories

US travel ban

Caribbean nations included on draft US travel ban proposal

According to a report by The New York Times, the Trump administration is considering a new travel ban that would affect several Caribbean nations. The...
NMIA Jamaica Norman Manley International Airport

Fire at Norman Manley International Airport in Kingston disrupts flights

Emergency responders worked overnight to contain a fire that broke out in the Club Kingston VIP Departure Lounge at Norman Manley International Airport (NMIA)...
Guyana Government to assist sugar workers

Guyana in diplomatic talks with US over Cuban medical missions sanctions

The Government of Guyana is engaged in diplomatic discussions with the United States to address concerns over the expansion of US restrictions on Cuba’s...
Nearly six thousand people killed Haiti in 2024

IACHR expresses concern over worsening security crisis in Haiti

The Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) has voiced grave concerns over the escalating security crisis in Haiti, citing a surge in extreme violence...
Owen James

Jamaican media mourns the passing of veteran journalist Owen James

The Press Association of Jamaica (PAJ) has expressed deep sorrow over the passing of veteran journalist Owen James, hailing him as a trailblazer in...
Turks and Caicos

US warns Americans not to travel with firearms or ammo to Turks and Caicos

The U.S. Department of State has issued a forceful warning to American travelers, urging them to leave all firearms and ammunition at home when...
Barbados to host 69th CARPHA

Barbados to host 69th CARPHA Health Research Conference focused on mental health

Barbados will host the 69th Annual Health Research Conference of the Trinidad-based Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA) from May 7 to 9, with a...
Stuart Young

Stuart Young to be sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago on March 17

Energy Minister Stuart Young is set to be sworn in as Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobago on March 17, following Dr. Keith Rowley’s...
Issa Trust Foundation

Issa Trust Foundation expands neonatal training in Jamaica

From February 28 to March 14, 2025, the Issa Trust Foundation spearheaded a critical initiative to enhance neonatal care in Jamaica by providing specialized...
eGov Technology Showcase

Jamaica advances digital transformation at eGov Technology Showcase

The future of Jamaica’s digital transformation took center stage at yesterday’s eGov Jamaica Limited GOJ Digital Government Technology Showcase at the Jamaica Pegasus. The event,...

Latest Articles

Skip to content